Two companies have the same earnings but trade at different P/E multiples. Why?
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Example answer
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P/E is the price investors pay for each dollar of current earnings, so a higher multiple means they expect more from those earnings in the future. The biggest reason is usually growth. The second reason is risk, since investors pay more for earnings they can count on. It could also be that the market just likes one company more, or that they're in different industries. So you can't only look at earnings.
What holds it back
Growth and risk are the right first two reasons, but each gets only a few words. Then it drifts into the market liking one company more, which doesn't explain anything.
P/E is the price investors pay for each dollar of current earnings, so a higher multiple means they expect more from those earnings in the future. The biggest reason is usually growth. If one company is expected to grow its earnings faster, investors will pay more today for the same current earnings. A fast-growing software company usually trades at a higher multiple than a utility with the same profit. The second reason is risk, since investors pay more for earnings they can count on. A business with steady, predictable earnings gets a higher multiple than a cyclical one. The third is the quality of the earnings. One company's number might include a one-time gain, or the two might use different accounting policies, so the reported earnings aren't really the same. I'd also look at how much of the earnings turns into cash.
P/E is the price investors pay for each dollar of current earnings, so a higher multiple means they expect more from those earnings in the future. The biggest reason is usually growth. If one company is expected to grow its earnings faster, investors will pay more today for the same current earnings. A fast-growing software company usually trades at a higher multiple than a utility with the same profit. The second reason is risk, since investors pay more for earnings they can count on. A business with steady, predictable earnings gets a higher multiple than a cyclical one. Capital structure matters here too. P/E is an equity multiple, so two companies with different amounts of debt aren't directly comparable on it. The third is the quality of the earnings. One company's number might include a one-time gain, or the two might use different accounting policies, so the reported earnings aren't really the same. I'd also look at how much of the earnings turns into cash. The last one is returns on capital. A company that earns high returns needs to reinvest less to grow, so more of its earnings are free for shareholders, and that's worth a higher multiple. So my first step would be to adjust both companies' earnings for one-time items, then compare growth forecasts and debt levels. If a gap is still there that I can't explain, one of them may be mispriced.
What the interviewer listens for
- Do you start with growth expectations?
- Do you cover risk and capital structure?
- Do you question whether the two earnings numbers are really comparable?
- Can you say what you'd check first?
More finance technicals
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- When would you not use a DCF to value a company?
- Pitch me a stock.
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