Market
Big enough and growing?
- Size
- Units and dollars a year
- Rivals
- Who leads, how they'd react
A new product launch case asks whether a company should launch a product and how. Check the market, the customer and how the product fits next to what the company already sells, then work out the volume and market share needed to break even after lost sales of existing products. Recommend launch, pilot or stop, with the plan and the number to watch. Soreno, an AI voice interview practice app for consulting, investment banking and other finance candidates, runs a free growth strategy case with no sign-up, where a product launch is one of the options you rank, and full mock cases with scored feedback.
Updated
A launch case is a yes or no with a plan attached. The structure below covers five areas in the order the decision needs them. Firms publish launch cases of their own: McKinsey's Electro-Light asks about a lower-sugar sports drink, and ZS's practice case 3 asks about a new sunscreen formula. Both move from factors to customers to the numbers.
Big enough and growing?
Who buys it, and why over the rest?
Volume and share to break even.
How to get it made and sold.
Copperline Coffee, an invented brand, sells ground coffee in bags and holds 9% of that market. It has developed compostable coffee pods. Should it launch them, and if so, how? This case and every number in it are invented by Soreno for practice.
Unit margin
A box of 10 pods sells to retailers at $6.00 and costs $3.60 to make on Copperline's own line, so each box earns $2.40.
Fixed costs
The launch needs a $9 million production line and $6 million of launch marketing, $15 million upfront. Spread over a 3-year payback that is $5 million a year, plus $3 million a year to run the line: $8 million a year in all.
Break-even
$8 million ÷ $2.40 = 3.33 million boxes a year. The US compostable pod market is 60 million boxes a year, so Copperline needs 5.6% of it.
Cannibalization
Some pod buyers would otherwise have bought Copperline's bags: 0.25 bags lost for every box sold, at $3.20 of margin a bag, or $0.80 a box. Net margin falls to $1.60, so break-even rises to 5 million boxes, 8.3% of the market. That is close to the 9% Copperline holds in bags, a share it took years to build.
Supply choice
A contract packer makes a box for $4.20, $0.60 more than the own line, with no line to build or run. The line only pays off above 30 million boxes over 3 years ($9 million plus 3 years of running cost, divided by $0.60), about 10 million a year or 16.7% of the market. Below that, the packer is cheaper. With no line, only $2 million a year of marketing is left to cover at $1.00 a box after cannibalization, so break-even drops to 2 million boxes, 3.3% of the market.
Recommend
Launch in a 6-month pilot with a contract packer: 1.5 million boxes in two regions, earning $1.00 a box after cannibalization, or $1.5 million before marketing. Go national with the packer if at least 35% of pilot buyers buy again and the run rate points above 3.3% share. Build the line only once volume heads past 16.7%. The main risk: the pod leader cuts its price during the pilot.
Market
How big is the category in units and dollars, how fast is it growing, and who holds the share? A shrinking category needs a stronger reason to enter.
Market sizing, workedCustomer
Who would buy it, what they use now, and what would make them switch. Pick one segment to win first.
Product
What it does better than rivals, and how much it overlaps with what the client already sells. Notre Dame's 2026 Case Book warns that new product launches can erode existing sales. ZS's sunscreen case, where the client already sells a best-selling product, asks which customer segments to recommend for the new formula.
Economics
Notre Dame's 2026 Case Book gives break-even volume as fixed costs divided by price minus variable cost per unit. Divide that by the market to get the share needed, and subtract lost sales of existing products from the margin first.
Break-even analysis examplesLaunch
Can the client make it, and should it build or contract out first? Which channel and price? A pilot with a clear target is often the best first step.
Firm and school pages give practice cases, formulas and general sample frameworks. The five-area structure on this page is ours.
McKinsey
McKinsey lists Electro-Light among the practice cases on its interviewing page. The case gives a $2.00 price to retailers, a $1.90 cost per bottle and $40 million of fixed costs, and asks what share of the electrolyte drink market it needs to break even. By our math, that is $0.10 a bottle, or 400 million bottles to cover the fixed costs. A later question names a 12.5 percent target share and asks what it would take. Calculators are not allowed.
ZS
ZS's practice case 3 is about a consumer goods company planning to launch a new sunscreen formula. It asks which factors to consider, which segments to target, what profit to expect and which marketing and sales channels to use.
Accenture
Accenture's case workbook sets out the break-even in three steps (margin per unit, fixed costs, divide), then asks for the market size and the share needed, and whether the client can realistically reach it.
From McKinsey: Electro-Light practice case, McKinsey: Interviewing, ZS: Practice case 3, Accenture: Case Interview Workbook (PDF) and University of Notre Dame: 2026 Case Book (PDF).
In our experience, candidates lose launch cases on the numbers, not the ideas. These are the moves we listen for.
Profit, share, defending against a rival or reaching new customers. Ask the goal, the timeline and the budget before you structure. The goal decides what counts as success.
Ask how many buyers would have bought the client's existing product, and take that margin off before computing break-even.
Turn break-even volume into a share of the market and compare it with shares the client or rivals already hold.
Capacity, a new line or a partner, and the time it takes. A product nobody can make on time has no launch date.
End with one of the three, the plan, and the number that would change your mind.
Each one asks whether to launch and how. Under each is what a strong answer does.
One product, one decision.
A consumer goods company is deciding whether to launch a premium pet food line. How would you structure the decision?
Sizes the premium segment, checks how many buyers would come from the client's own standard line, and finds the share needed to break even. Practice it, see a model answer
A beverage company wants to launch a lower-sugar sports drink. What market share does it need to break even?
Computes margin per bottle, divides fixed costs by it, turns the volume into a share and compares it with the current leaders.
A carmaker is launching an electric pickup that may take sales from its own gas pickup. How would you account for that?
Estimates how many buyers switch from the gas model, takes the lost margin off each electric sale and reruns the break-even.
A coffee chain is opening a new store. How many cups a day does it need to sell to break even?
Separates the one-time opening cost from yearly fixed costs, divides by margin per cup and converts the result to cups a day. Practice it, see a model answer
The yes is close. Price and supply are the questions.
A pharmaceutical company is about to launch a new drug. How would you set the price?
Anchors on the value to patients and payers, checks rival treatments and the cost floor, then tests how volume changes with price. Practice it, see a model answer
A software company is launching a new analytics add-on for its existing customers. How would you set the price?
Prices from the value to each customer segment, and checks how many existing customers would buy at each price. Practice it, see a model answer
A manufacturer is deciding whether to build a second factory. How would you evaluate the investment?
Checks that demand will fill it, compares building with contracting out, and works out payback or NPV on the cash flows. Practice it, see a model answer
These are the ones we hear most in practice cases.
In our worked case it raises the share needed from 5.6% to 8.3%. Ignore it and a weak launch looks safe.
A production line is paid once, running it is paid every year. Say how you spread the one-time cost before dividing.
5 million boxes means nothing until you compare it with a market of 60 million boxes and the share rivals hold.
Product, price, place and promotion can fill the time without ever saying launch or not. Use them after the yes.
Ask about capacity and suppliers. A contract packer or partner can test the market before the client builds anything.
A leader with a large share can cut prices or copy the feature. Say what happens to your break-even if it does.
Soreno's AI interviewer runs a full case, gives you the cost and market data when you ask, checks your break-even and scores the session. Start your free week.
A case where a company has a new product and wants to know whether to launch it and how. You look at the market, the customer, how the product fits the range, the economics and the plan.
Market, customer, product, economics and launch plan, in that order, with break-even share as the number that ties them together. Build it around the client's goal rather than reciting a memorized list.
Divide fixed costs by margin per unit to get break-even volume, then divide by the size of the market to get the share needed. Spread one-time costs over a payback period you state out loud.
Sales of the new product that come at the expense of the client's existing products. Take the margin lost on those sales off the new product's margin before you compute break-even.
A launch case puts a new product into a market, often one the client already serves. A market entry case takes existing products into a new market, such as a new country. The math is similar, but cannibalization matters more in a launch.
A practice case on McKinsey's interviewing page about launching a lower-sugar sports drink. It asks for key launch factors, then the market share needed to break even from a $2 price, a $1.90 unit cost and $40 million of fixed costs.
When the break-even share is close to what the client has achieved elsewhere, or when a big investment hangs on unproven demand. Say what the pilot must show and what you would do if it misses.